Netanyahu's Iran Gamble Backfires as Trump Steals the Show

Netanyahu's Iran Gamble Backfires as Trump Steals the Show

Benjamin Netanyahu stayed silent Wednesday as President Trump announced and signed a memorandum of understanding on Iran that Israeli officials view as a strategic catastrophe. The prime minister, who had pledged his country "total victory" against Tehran, found himself cornered by the very alliance he has relied on to sustain his political survival.

The deal exposes a harsh reality for Netanyahu: he now stands virtually alone on the global stage in his opposition to the accord. Even the United Arab Emirates, historically the most aggressive voice among Gulf states demanding continued pressure on Iran, has fallen in line with regional consensus supporting the agreement.

Netanyahu's usual playbook is also unavailable. In 2015, he addressed Congress directly to rally opposition against President Obama's Iran deal. This time, he cannot wage a public campaign against Trump's memorandum without risking a direct confrontation with his most powerful backer. His allies in the Republican Party and conservative media have shown little appetite for a full-throated attack on an initiative bearing Trump's signature.

Behind closed doors, Israeli officials have been quietly alarming reporters about the accord during background briefings. Netanyahu-aligned media outlets, many of which had been staunchly pro-Trump, have shifted tone. One prime-time host on Channel 14 directed harsh language at Vice President Vance and used an antisemitic slur to accuse Trump envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner of betraying Israel for financial gain.

Trump himself has offered Netanyahu little comfort. At a G7 summit on Wednesday, the president praised Netanyahu as "a good man" while simultaneously mocking him as "the very small partner" in their relationship. Days earlier, Trump told Axios that Netanyahu had "no fucking judgement" for ordering a strike in Beirut that nearly derailed negotiations.

The tension escalated over the handling of the agreement itself. Netanyahu claimed he hadn't been allowed to review the final memorandum text as of Tuesday. A U.S. official acknowledged on Wednesday that Netanyahu may not have seen the full document, though the White House insisted it had provided detailed briefings throughout negotiations and that Israelis never requested access. Trump said he sent over a copy during his press conference.

According to U.S. officials, Netanyahu privately told Kushner, Witkoff and Vance that if Iran follows through on nuclear concessions, "that would be a home run deal." The statement conflicts sharply with Netanyahu's public posture of deep skepticism.

The immediate friction centers on Lebanon. The memorandum stipulates that any ceasefire includes the fighting between Israel and Hezbollah, with provisions for Israeli withdrawal from Lebanese territory under a final agreement. Netanyahu has made clear Israel will not leave southern Lebanon unless Hezbollah is fully disarmed. One adviser said Israel does not consider itself bound by the Lebanon provisions of the memorandum.

Trump described the disagreement bluntly: "We have a little dispute about Lebanon." The White House has signaled that Israel will retain the ability to respond to any Hezbollah attacks and that the next 60 days should be used for negotiations between Israel and Lebanon on a political settlement, potentially leading to withdrawal through diplomatic channels rather than as a consequence of the Iran deal.

Trump also leveled fresh criticism at Israeli military conduct in Lebanon on Wednesday, calling it unacceptable to demolish residential buildings in every operation targeting individuals. It was a rebuke delivered with unusual directness from a president who has generally been supportive of Israeli military actions.

For Netanyahu, the moment crystallizes a painful shift. Few world leaders, even those with whom he has clashed, have been so publicly critical of Israel. With an election four months away, he must absorb yet another blow from the ally he cannot afford to lose.

Author James Rodriguez: "Netanyahu wanted to own the Iran portfolio heading into the elections, but Trump just took it from him, and even threw in some public criticism for good measure."

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