A fresh cease-fire agreement brokered by the United States and Iran aims to stop the fighting in Lebanon, but American intelligence assessments suggest Israel will not comply with the framework.
U.S. intelligence officials believe Israel intends to continue its military operations against Hezbollah targets in Lebanon, according to the analysis. The conclusion undercuts expectations that the new accord would bring a full halt to hostilities across the border.
The divergence between the stated terms of the cease-fire and what intelligence analysts expect on the ground reflects the complicated dynamics at play. While the agreement was negotiated to end the conflict, Israel has shown no signs of stepping back from its military campaign against the militant group.
The assessment carries significant implications for the stability of the region. A continued Israeli campaign could undermine the cease-fire and trigger further escalation, even as diplomatic efforts attempt to lock in a truce.
Author Sarah Mitchell: "Washington's own spies are telling policymakers the ink on this deal may be dry before the shooting stops."
Comments