Powell warns single political firing could cripple Fed's credibility forever

Powell warns single political firing could cripple Fed's credibility forever

Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve's former chair, has issued a stark warning about the dangers of political meddling in monetary policy, arguing that even a single successful attempt to remove a Fed official over policy disagreements could permanently erode public trust in the institution.

Speaking at the JFK Library Foundation's award ceremony in Boston on Sunday, Powell accepted the 2026 Profile in Courage award while drawing an implicit parallel to the current constitutional battle over his successor's predecessor. The central bank, he said, is undergoing a "stress test" as the Trump administration challenges legal safeguards designed to insulate the Fed from political pressure.

"If any administration finds a way to remove Fed officials over policy differences, then future administrations will do so as well," Powell stated in his acceptance remarks. He emphasized that the institution's independence rests on legal protections that have "served the public well" across administrations of both parties. Without those safeguards, Powell warned, the consequences would be severe.

"The public would lose faith that the central bank will make decisions based only on what's best for all Americans. The Fed's credibility would be lost," he said.

Powell's comments arrive as the Supreme Court deliberates over whether President Trump can remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, whom he attempted to fire last August. The justices signaled skepticism toward the administration's position during oral arguments in January, with both conservative and liberal members expressing doubt about the legal grounds for removal. A final decision is expected before the court adjourns for summer in late June.

Cook, who has denied any wrongdoing, refused to vacate her position after Trump announced her dismissal. The president cited what he described as "deceitful and potentially criminal conduct" related to mortgage transactions, a characterization the Fed governor has contested. A federal district judge blocked the firing in September, ruling that alleged misconduct occurring before Cook took office could not constitute valid cause for removal.

Powell stressed that Fed officials "hold office with legal protection against removal" and serve "long terms unrelated to the four-year presidential election cycle." These structural features exist, he explained, so that monetary policy decisions can be made purely on economic merit rather than electoral considerations.

The former Fed chair also highlighted his own history of defying presidential pressure. Trump repeatedly demanded aggressive interest rate cuts, a campaign Powell resisted throughout his tenure, making decisions based on economic analysis rather than political demand. Those confrontations ultimately sparked the constitutional crisis now before the courts.

The JFK Library Foundation's award committee recognized Powell for standing firm "against years of personal attacks and threats from the highest levels of government," noting that he "refused to let political forces dictate monetary policy." Powell told Sunday's audience that monetary decisions were always grounded in "our best economic analysis of what would most benefit the people we serve."

Powell, who stepped down as Fed chair last month and was succeeded by Kevin Warsh, remains a member of the board of governors. At the January Supreme Court hearing, he told reporters that the Cook case represented "perhaps the most important legal case in the Fed's 113-year history."

Invoking the 18th-century philosopher Edmund Burke, Powell cautioned that democratic institutions "take much time, effort, and patience to build but can be torn down all too quickly."

Author James Rodriguez: "Powell's message is bracing and timely, a veteran central banker essentially asking the country whether it wants an independent Fed or a politically controlled one. That choice may soon be in the Supreme Court's hands."

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